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J E Ross's avatar

This was very helpful to me and anyone whose peripheral vision is clogged with screaming monkeys of doom. I certainly did not track the pace or percentage of admin. responses.

I have also been wondering how they will manage minus all the people who’ve been fired or forced to resign at DoJ. I wonder how many truly adept lawyers are left to build and argue these cases.

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Alasdair Phillips-Robins's avatar

I think there are two other conclusions we can draw from the many lower court losses the administration isn't appealing:

(1) The SG's office is the one part of DOJ that can still tell the White House "no." After some brushbacks earlier in the year, for example in the Abrego Garcia case, John Sauer seems to have convinced his political bosses that they'll be better served by letting him decide which cases to bring to the court and (largely) how to argue them. He seems now to be bringing applications where he thinks the government has a very good chance or ones where a loss is likely to be narrow. Of the five applications you list, I see four as likely government wins at the preliminary stage (Slaughter, Global Health Council, Orr, and National TPS Alliance) even if only on procedural grounds, and one as a likely loss (Cook). The fact that Sauer has succeeded in part because he has a measure of independence should (but won't) provide a lesson for the WH about the positive benefits of an arms length relationship with DOJ.

(2) For all their early bluster about defying judges, this administration doesn't want to get in an extended direct confrontation with the courts. They'll denounce judges on Fox, take aggressive positions in the lower courts, read injunctions narrowly, and break the law where they think they can avoid litigation, but when faced with an unambiguous court order they will largely comply. Even the Garcia case shows that after some initial posturing, they'll eventually find their way to begrudging compliance.

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